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49% of troops to not re-enlist

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49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 05:15 PM   #1
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49% of troops to not re-enlist

A while back I asked if Bush had done more to hurt moral in our armed forces than Clinton had and the response was fairly predictable. But, an article in today's Washington Post suggests we might be in for more trouble than some here think...


Many Troops Dissatisfied, Iraq Poll Finds

By Bradley Graham and Dana Milbank
Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, October 16, 2003; Page A01

A broad survey of U.S. troops in Iraq by a Pentagon-funded newspaper found that half of those questioned described their unit's morale as low and their training as insufficient, and said they do not plan to reenlist.

The survey, conducted by the Stars and Stripes newspaper, also recorded about a third of the respondents complaining that their mission lacks clear definition and characterizing the war in Iraq as of little or no value. Fully 40 percent said the jobs they were doing had little or nothing to do with their training.

The findings, drawn from 1,935 questionnaires presented to U.S. service members throughout Iraq, conflict with statements by military commanders and Bush administration officials that portray the deployed troops as high-spirited and generally well-prepared. Though not obtained through scientific methods, the survey results suggest that a combination of difficult conditions, complex missions and prolonged tours in Iraq is wearing down a significant portion of the U.S. force and threatening to provoke a sizable exodus from military service.

In the first of a week-long series of articles, Stars and Stripes said yesterday that it undertook the survey in August after receiving scores of letters from troops who were upset with one aspect or another of the Iraq operation. The newspaper, which receives some funding from the Defense Department but functions without editorial control by the Pentagon, prepared 17 questions and sent three teams of reporters to Iraq to conduct the survey and related interviews at nearly 50 camps.

"We conducted a 'convenience survey,' meaning we gave it to those who happened to be available at the time rather than to a randomly selected cross section, so the results cannot necessarily be projected as representing the whole population," said David Mazzarella, the paper's editorial director here. "But we still think the findings are significant and make clear that the troops have a different idea of things than what their leaders have been saying."

Experts in public opinion and the military concurred that the poll was not necessarily representative, but they characterized it as a useful gauge of troop sentiment. "The numbers are consistent with what I suspect is going on there," said David Segal, a military sociologist at the University of Maryland at College Park. "I am getting a sense that there is a high and increasing level of demoralization and a growing sense of being in something they don't understand and aren't sure the American people understand."

The paper quoted Lt. Gen. Ricardo Sanchez, commander of U.S. forces in Iraq, saying in a Sept. 9 interview for the series that "there is no morale problem." He said complaints among troops are "expected" and part of "the Army's normal posture," whether the soldiers are deployed or not.

"We haven't had time to study the survey, but we take all indicators of morale seriously," said Bryan Whitman, a senior Pentagon spokesman. "It's the reason we've instituted several programs to address morale and welfare issues." A White House spokesman had no comment.

Some military experts pointed to good news for the administration in the survey. Military historian Eliot Cohen, who serves on a Pentagon advisory panel, noted that the proportion that said the war was worthwhile -- 67 percent -- and the proportion of troops that said they have a clearly defined mission -- 64 percent -- are "amazingly high." He added that complaints are typical. "American troops have a God-given right and tradition of grumbling," he said.

In the survey, 34 percent described their morale as low, compared with 27 percent who described it as high and 37 percent who said it was average; 49 percent described their unit's morale as low, while 16 percent called it high.

In recent days, the Bush administration has launched a campaign to blame the news media for portraying the situation in Iraq in a negative light. Last week, Bush described the military spirit as high and said that life in Iraq is "a lot better than you probably think. Just ask people who have been there."

But Stars and Stripes raised questions about what those visiting dignitaries saw in Iraq. "Many soldiers -- including several officers -- allege that VIP visits from the Pentagon and Capitol Hill are only given hand-picked troops to meet with during their tours of Iraq," the newspaper said in its interview with Sanchez. "The phrase 'Dog and Pony Show' is usually used. Some troops even go so far as to say they've been ordered not to talk to VIPs because leaders are afraid of what they might say."

The newspaper also noted in that interview that its reporters were told that some soldiers who had complained of morale problems had faced disciplinary actions known as Article 15s, which can result in reprimand, extra duties and forfeiture of pay. Sanchez said he did not know of any such punishments, but he added that they would have been handled at a lower level.

The paper's project recorded significant differences in the morale of various units, but overall found that Army troops tended to sound more dissatisfied than Air Force personnel and Marines, and that reservists were the most troubled.

Uncertainty about when they are returning home was a major factor in dampening morale, according to the newspaper. The interviews were conducted at a time when some reserve and regular Army units were learning that their tours had been extended. The Pentagon has since sought to provide a clearer rotation plan and has begun granting troops two-week home leaves.

Although Pentagon officials say they have seen no sign yet of a rise in the number of troops deciding against reenlisting, the survey suggested that such a surge may be coming soon. A total of 49 percent of those questioned said it was "very unlikely" or "not likely" that they would remain in the military after they complete their current obligations. In the past, enlistment rates tended to drop after conflicts, but many defense experts and noncommissioned officers have warned of the potential for a historically high exodus, particularly of reservists.
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 05:21 PM   #2
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

I have several friends over there, I'll ask them.
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 05:32 PM   #3
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

I think the issue is that when most enlisted in our all volunteer military they didn't have getting their ass shot off as a top ten priority. Eating sand shitting in a hole at 120 degrees and having some innocent looking kid try to shove an RPG up your ass is going to affect morale. All that aside, I think Bush can mingle with most of the troops and get their respect (at least he was in the Guard) whereas Clinton would get fragged in a heartbeat. I've got a brother who is an Army Captain in Tikrit and he tells me the morale is better than the media is portraying it. [img]/images/graemlins/gasthrower.gif[/img]
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 05:39 PM   #4
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

more propaganda.
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 05:41 PM   #5
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

Look, what's wrong with not re-upping after you've served your country and done a long tour of combat? You did your job, you're tired and now it's time to go home. Big deal. I doubt that most of the non-coms intended to be lifers anyway.

To make any kind of a point you need to find out how many of those leaving had changed their mind about a long-term career in the military.
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 06:02 PM   #6
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

Blah blah blah - the drumbeat continues to drone... We'll see in 04 exactly how critical this is [img]/images/graemlins/supergrin.gif[/img]
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 06:11 PM   #7
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

Well, since there is a freeze on people leaving, I doubt he would lift that in time for the elections; most will probably be serving extended tours anyways.

As for whats wrong, the extreme turnover will remove experienced troops from the ranks at a time when it is most needed.

I am against our troops being used as Nation Builders and Peace Keepers. They should have done the job and then be brought home.
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 06:18 PM   #8
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

49% unlikely to re-up? What was it in 1995, or 90, or 85? I know in 1978-82 none of us that went in ever planned on being lifers.

As far as moral, if there's one thing a soldier has a right to it's the right to complain.
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 06:31 PM   #9
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

49%...hmm....makes me wonder what my SRB(selective reenlistment bonus) will go up to....$$$$$$$$$$$$
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 07:08 PM   #10
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

The non marines military usually has over a 55% non re-enlistment rate.
So, we are going to retain more experienced personnel.
Sorry, but the rest is like we are in this alone.
Wait a minute, aren't something like over 45 countries providing support, including military persons?
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 07:54 PM   #11
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

Quote:
Originally Posted by tito
more propaganda.
And you know because........................
STFU tito, do you have any connection witht the military?!
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 07:58 PM   #12
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

Quote:
Originally Posted by packetjunkie
Well, since there is a freeze on people leaving, I doubt he would lift that in time for the elections; most will probably be serving extended tours anyways.
yes and no, most of the stoplosses ordered have been lifted. There are only a few MOSs still affected by it. We are not completely sure what people are doing (getting out/staying in), but it will be interesting to see how it plays out. Most think there will be a large amount of people that will leave.
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 08:14 PM   #13
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

Quote:
Originally Posted by packetjunkie
A while back I asked if Bush had done more to hurt moral in our armed forces than Clinton had and the response was fairly predictable. But, an article in today's Washington Post suggests we might be in for more trouble than some here think...

as stated, getting shot at by preteen jihad members while crawling around in hell's largest sandbox is going to fuck with your head.. hell, i'm positive that if i actually had to work harder at my job my morale would go down too..

and lets not forget that over %50 of our military forces enlisted because they had nothing better to do with their life at the time of enlistment..

and to top it all off, dont blame bush for lowering morale by going to war just because pussy clinton was too busy getting blow jobs instead of protecting the country from terrorists...

Eddie
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 08:24 PM   #14
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist





and lets not forget that over %50 of our military forces enlisted because they had nothing better to do with their life at the time of enlistment..


blow me
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 08:25 PM   #15
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

Yeah, who gave negative marks, those like the ones in DS#1, who thought they wouldn't have to fight?
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 10:25 PM   #16
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

Quote:
Originally Posted by Leaf001



and lets not forget that over %50 of our military forces enlisted because they had nothing better to do with their life at the time of enlistment..


blow me
i wasnt trying to offend, but its true.. i would love to know the percentage of people that get kicked out before they serve their full term..

Eddie
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 10:27 PM   #17
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

it's around 35%
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 16th, 2003, 10:53 PM   #18
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist

I'll tell you what has me pissed off. We train out troops for battle - not to be policemen in a foreign country where the rules of engagement make them sitting targets.

We sent in reservest on extended tours of what - nation building?

The whole war was poorly planned from the start. The cost, the reasoning - Bush chose to ignore strong intel and play politics with what story he could sell. Now we're stuck with our fighting men and women sitting around trying to maintain order in a coutry most here would just assume level to the ground.

And now the US is responsible for $200 billion in Iraq debt? Our $20 billion in "rebuilding" costs is now being offered as a gift if other vountries will forgive 90% of that ourstanding debt.

Our troops are not peace keepers and not policemen. Iraq is not the next vacation spot for American travellers and shouldnt be rebuilt using taxpayer funds. Time to pull our troops back and let whatever the fuck want to build that place back do it on their oil credits. And, if they try to fuck with us - we'll be back.
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Re: 49% of troops to not re-enlist
Old October 17th, 2003, 09:27 AM   #19
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