As his Vice Presidential running mate...I'd say it's the smartest thing he's ever done...They are still going to lose, but picking Edwards was the obvious choice...
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State Polls Snapshot And Election 2004
April 12, 2004
Bruce Walker
Presidential elections are won by electoral vote, not popular votes, and state presidential preference polls, not national presidential preference polls, provide the best guides as to whether President Bush will win reelection or not. The key to the November election will be in seven states that either party has a realistic chance of winning with associated electoral votes: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, West Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin and New Mexico.
Out of those states, Gore carried four in November 2000 with the accompanying electoral votes: Pennsylvania (21), Michigan (17), Wisconsin (10) and New Mexico (5). Bush carried three states with the accompanying electoral votes: Florida (27), Ohio (20) and West Virginia (5).
If President Bush only carries the states he carried in November 2000, then he gains 278 electoral votes. He can lose eight electoral votes and win the Electoral College vote outright or he can lose nine electoral votes and the state delegations within the House of Representatives will elect him.
Based upon the polls today in those seven key states, Bush would capture Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and New Mexico for an additional 36 votes and Bush would lose Florida with West Virginia a tie, which together -assuming Kerry won in West Virginia - would be 32 votes. He would lose Michigan, which he lost in the 2000 election, by one point, and hold Ohio, which he won by several points in the 2000 election, by two points.
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State Polls Snapshot And Election 2004
April 12, 2004
Bruce Walker
Presidential elections are won by electoral vote, not popular votes, and state presidential preference polls, not national presidential preference polls, provide the best guides as to whether President Bush will win reelection or not. The key to the November election will be in seven states that either party has a realistic chance of winning with associated electoral votes: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, West Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin and New Mexico.
Out of those states, Gore carried four in November 2000 with the accompanying electoral votes: Pennsylvania (21), Michigan (17), Wisconsin (10) and New Mexico (5). Bush carried three states with the accompanying electoral votes: Florida (27), Ohio (20) and West Virginia (5).
If President Bush only carries the states he carried in November 2000, then he gains 278 electoral votes. He can lose eight electoral votes and win the Electoral College vote outright or he can lose nine electoral votes and the state delegations within the House of Representatives will elect him.
Based upon the polls today in those seven key states, Bush would capture Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and New Mexico for an additional 36 votes and Bush would lose Florida with West Virginia a tie, which together -assuming Kerry won in West Virginia - would be 32 votes. He would lose Michigan, which he lost in the 2000 election, by one point, and hold Ohio, which he won by several points in the 2000 election, by two points.
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So what you are saying is that if that happens Al Gore would win Hillary for the night or Kerry would be the next puppet calling himself President.
Either way Bush has a road in front of him and I want to see 4 more years but feel that this may not come out the way I want.
The Tax and Spend Dems are not looking forward to Hillary and will do what ever they can do to get Skerry elected.
With 5 months left much can happen to send Bush's rating down another 10 points. This election will be won by Bush only if the Republicans turn out to vote and in the past they have not.
What's interesting is that this time around Bush has almost none of the platforms that he used in 2000 available to him (deployment capability of military, changing the tone, nation building, social security investments, etc.).
His entire campaign this time is about the War On Terrorism with no plan to control his runaway spending plans including a prescription drug program that failed (drug rates were raised higher than the discounts in the first quarter by the manufacturers) and a nation more divided than when he took office. His VP, who is still on the payroll of one of the largest benefactors of Pentagon spending, believes that professionalism includes the use of profanity to express his views (the same guy who pledged to change the tone, also). Rumsfeld/Ashcroft are relics of an age long since gone and should be retired.
Even with all that, Bush could possibly win for no other reason than Kerry fails to inspire Republicans who would consider voting against Bush if only they had a decent alternative.
You're forgetting the economy, which has recovered from Clinton's resession...and job growth is way up...
Very true but the economy could go south with the next gust of wind, still fragile.
And when Bush and the republicans closed the prescription availability from up north it hurt the retired and they carry a big vote.
I don't want 4 years of Skerry and neither does Hillary (she wants her turn) but Bush better get a message, any message out before it is to late.
Larger percentage of swing voters than the last election plus more youngins voting for the first time. The young ones that have never paid taxes & think that us Republicans are the big bad wolf.
You ever watch a ball game where the batter waits to long and never swings, strike 3 your out.
